St Leger meeting at Doncaster Tips

horse-racing

Another decent day last Saturday with advised winners Confessional (SP 15/2) and Gordon Lord Byron (SP 7/2).

Today I’m looking at the final day of the St Leger meeting at Doncaster, with the last 3 days throwing up some great races and some decent SP’s! The forecast ground is good to soft and I’m hoping that the weather doesnt change too much to effect today’s selections.

We start with the first (2.05) which sees a rematch between The Grey Gatsby and Treaty of Paris, with the latter just getting his head in front in the Acomb at York last month. Its sure to be close between these two again with the former with potentially more improvement in him after just two runs. Anjaal has stamina on his side which will see him fare well at this track, after finishing fast over 6f last time out in the July stakes. A question mark is raised over whether he will handle the ground, but if he does he should be bang there. He does also concede weight to the rest of the field which is another negative, which turns my attention to Outstrip. Impressive after just two runs, he won well on his debut at Newmarket and was just touched off in the Vintage Stakes at Goodwood last time out. He’s been prepped for this since, is proven on the ground and with improvement on the cards is the one I will be on this afternoon.

Verdict: Outstrip 3pts win

After first looking at the card for the 2.40, one would be forgiven for wanting to pin it to a dartboard, close your eyes and see what your dart lands on. However, to avoid serious injury and unwelcome holes in the wall, here is a summary of the runners I think will be close to the money. C&D winner Definightly represents each way value. A winner on soft ground, he can go close if back to his best after a break. Bogart was gelded recently which seems to have brought out immediate improvement in him, winning a handicap last time out at York. If he keeps improving then he could be a tough nut to crack (no pun intended). Steps was ahead of several of today’s rivals when runner up at Ascot last time out and should be in contention here. Ajjaad looks an interesting runner, posting some decent efforts recently including a close second in the Stewards Cup last time out. The handicapper hasnt penalised him for that and Kevin Stott’s 7lb claimer is an added plus. Others to note are C&D winners Doctor Parkes and Doc Hay, with the former capable of bouncing back from two disappointing runs at bigger odds and the latter winning this race last year.

Verdict: Ajjaad 1pt win, Definightly 1pt each way

Lightly raced Viztoria looks an interesting runner in the 3.15 and I’m taking her to keep on improving and get her head in front today. She seems to be most effective at this trip and is proven on soft ground. Aljamaaheer and Gregorian look to be the ones to cause her the most problems with both posting impressive performances in valuable races recently. If you’re looking for an each way option at bigger odds then Arnold Lane could be worth a punt. Back from a break and stepping up in class, he posted wins when last seen and has won on soft before. He could ruffle a few feathers here.

Verdict: Viztoria 1pt win, Arnold Lane 1pt each way

The 3.50 is the Ladbrokes St Leger and the feature race of the meeting. This really is a hard one to call with a number of runners with good form to their names and one or two looking to bounce back from disappointing runs. With emphasis on stamina it could pay to side with Excess Knowledge who has posted two very good efforts in defeat this year and is improving rapidly. With a trainer who has enjoyed multiple wins in this race John Gosden, hd can get his head in front today. Cap O’Rushes was ahead of Excess Knowledge last time and will do well to confirm that result again, with the selection arguably unlucky that day. The Aidan O’Brien duo of Foundry and Leading Light are right to be feared as is Gallileo Rock, who arguably has the best form on the card. His participation wasn’t guaranteed today due to worries about the ground but after a walk of the course this morning, David Wachman is happy he’ll be ok. Talent caused an upset in the Oaks and looks to be another suited by a test of stamina. A repeat of that form would see him in the mix but he is another that needs to bounce back from a disappointing run last time. An interesting outsider is Great Hall who is lightly raced and improving all the time and may upset a few here (last year’s winner Encke won at 25/1).

Verdict: Excess Knowledge 2pts win

I like the look of Mr Impatience in the 4.25. He has been performing well in much tougher company recently and this drop in class could see him with a ’1′ on the form book after today. He’s well handicapped and prefers softer ground which he will get today. The Brian Ellison trained Saptapadi looks well handicapped and could go close.

Verdict: Mr Impatience 4pts win

The 5.00 is another tough one to call with several last time out winners. My initial selection was What About Carlo but is now confirmed as a non runner. This leaves a good opportunity for Extra Noble to continue his impressive start to racing with another victory today. Last seen getting a nose in front of Fire Fighting at Kempton, he now has a 10lb swing with that rival. His opening mark looks fair and he should be bang there today. Fire Fighting has improved since his defeat to the selection and is a tough sort, but he’ll have to be to defy his 7lb rise for his latest win. Another to note is Sir Jack Layden who has looked as if this trip should suit.

Verdict: Extra Noble 3pts win