Goodwood Markel Insurance Nassau Stakes

horse-racing-2

The headline race at Goodwood (3.15) today has an interesting field to choose from. Is there any value? There might just be.

Favourite for this 1m 1f Class 1 race is certain to be Sky Lantern. Currently 9/4 with various bookies it’s easy to see why the 3yr old filly should dominate the field. Having already won the 1,000 Guineas in May and Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot the following month, she will take all the beating today despite a disappointing 2nd place last time out when going off a resounding 4/7 fav. Today’s race does see an up in trip to the mile flat she’s been used to however and it’ll all come down to whether or not she shrugs it off and grinds out the extra furlong or so. I certainly wouldn’t back against it. Jockey Richard Hughes is in fine form of late having ridden two winners yesterday afternoon – most notably 7/1 shot Wentworth in the day’s big race the Betfred Mile.

Integral

In search of a little value, 9/4 isn’t going to cut the mustard for me. Ryan Moore’s ride of Integral looks far more enticing at 11/2 (Bet365). This filly has done nothing but impress in her first two outings. None more so than her last ride at Sandown a month ago. I was lucky enough to be at this race and got to see her power first hand. Coming round the bend I didn’t fancy her chances and it was looking as though Sir Michael Stoute may have given her too much to overcome in just her 2nd time out. How wrong I was. A friend of mine calmly announced “Wait for the Ryan Moore charge” as they straightened up, and he couldn’t have been more right. Shifting at least 2 or 3 gears she hammered home to pip none other than Richard Hughes’ ride by a length and a half. Devastating. The manner of that finish shows she’ll cope with the extra furlong no problem and if she finishes in the same style this afternoon I fancy Moore to overthrow Hughes again today. This horse’s capabilities are still relatively unknown, but I think today could be her day of reckoning.

Outsiders

Looking further afield, Ambivalent looks to have the credentials to make the frame today. The 4yr old filly’s latest win bagged the €120,000 first prize at the Curragh a month ago and odds of 20/1 (Bet365) are just too good to miss with Johnny Murtagh on board again today. He can do no wrong of late and he’s well within his rights to fancy running the favourites close today. Could definitely be worth an EW punt.

Summary