ElDogg’s Goodwood 01/08

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An exciting and competitive race card greets us at Goodwood today and there seems like plenty of opportunities to sniff out a bit of value. I’ll keep it brief as my lunch break isn’t getting any longer. Here’s my picks:

Broughton & Double Discount (EW) 2.15pm

Broughton’s last outing left a lot to be desired. But it was a longer trip and today Franny Norton is back on board. His best results have come with him riding and also over the required distance today. Currently sat at 12/1 on Betfair I’d strongly fancy a top 3 here. Double Discount is enjoying this distance of late over lesser company so it will all boil down to whether he deals with the up in class here. If he can cope with the better grade of company he might sneak a spot at 14/1 with Betfair.

Miracle of Medinah (EW) 2.45pm

Winning your last 3 races always looks pretty on paper. But looking a little closer shows each win has been in an improved race from the last. All three wins have been at the required distance and for jockey Liam Keniry to ride him to a winner at 33/1 odds last time out it’s gotta be worth an each-way shout in this trip up in class. Currently 11/1 with Betfair looks like pretty decent each-way value to me.

Caucus (WIN) & Cavalryman (EW) 3.15pm

I fancy Caucus (13/2 Betfair) to take on the favourite here. He’s still improving and unexposed over the distance, winning well last time out. The favourite, Mount Athos, looks good on paper and especially seeing as the Fahey stable is currently in good form. But I’m hoping he may get hampered by the draw and so the current 2nd fav might be worth a little small stakes punt in the hope it gets beat. I also like Cavalryman each-way here too. His 17/1 odds with Betfair are reflective of his recent form but at his best this is a decent horse. There’s always a chance it could go close today.

Fingers crossed for some fav bashing!

Wild Coco (WIN) 3.45pm

Wild Coco is an absolute shoe in but there’s no value to be had with odds of 11/10 on Betfair. I’m not one for backing short odds favs as they pack a real nasty bite when they lose. But the fact is this won’t lose…….. I hope.