ElDogg’s Selections Sat 7th September

horse-racing-2

After signing off August with 4 winners last Saturday, lets keep the ball rolling today with the focus on this afternoon’s meetings at Haydock, which includes the Betfred Sprint Cup and Ascot.

Haydock

A case can be made for most in the 2.05, with the joint favourites roughly around 7/1 with the bookies at the time of writing. Above Standard is expected to have another big run and one which i made a case for in my article on 3rd August. I expect him to be bang there. The weather and ease in the ground may give Jack Luey and Confessional a big chance. The former is looking to bounce back from a poor run at Ripon, but posted a good 3rd at Newcastle prior, which followed a win at Redcar. Confessional won this race 3 years ago and won off much higher marks. He is out of form but is subsequently slipping in the weights and i think he can get involved here.

Verdict: Above Standard 2pts win   /   Confessional 2pts each way

In the 2.40, Montridge is the clear pick on form and should be too classy for his rivals today. But at odds of around 5/4 (which i think will shorten further), it may be worth looking for the place money here, with 8 remaining runners meaning 3 places are paid. I like the look of the William Haggas trained Nine Realms, who is lightly raced and progressing nicely. Worth his place in this company, i think its asking a lot for him to trouble the favourite but he is no forlorn hope for a place here and is trading currently around 10/1 generally.

Verdict: Nine Realms 1pt each way

Pallasator is bound to have many fans in the 3.15 and rightly so, last seen rattling off a hat-trick over C&D when last seen just under a year ago. He does have to carry top weight tho, which turns my attentions towards the bottom end of the handicap and in particular, Poyle Thomas. Still on an upward curve, this could be the one to trouble the aformentioned favourite, winning well last time out over slightly shorter at Newbury. Cousin Khee can also be in the mix after a great run behind a useful sort last time out at Kempton. It has also had it head in front over slightly shorter twice this year and has good each way value in my opinion.

Verdict:  Poyle Thomas 2pts win   /   Cousin Khee 3pts each way

The Sprint Cup (3.50) sees Lethal Force heading the betting, who was in great form to win the Diamond Jubilee at Ascot and the July Cup at Newmarket. He sets the standard but the softening ground is a cause for concern. Rex Imperator could run a big race after his Stewards Cup win on his penultimate start. Others to note are Gordon Lord Byron who was second in this race last year and winner of a Group 3 last time out. The soft conditions will play into his hands and could land another victory to Johnny Murtagh’s CV today. Garswood is in good form but has shown his best over 7f and is yet to win over today’s trip.

Verdict:  Gordon Lord Byron 3pts win   /   Rex Imperator 1pt each way

Ascot

Better weather means drier ground at Ascot and arguably slightly less to think about than the Haydock card. We start with the 1.55 and an ultra-competitive line-up to get our teeth into. Hold-up performer Pythagorean heads the betting and could land a blow if finding a clear run, running well in defeat in his last few races. Don’t Call Me won this race lst year and tends to save his best for Ascot. The one for me today is C&D winner Gabriel’s Lad, who was back to form to beat Democretes at Newmarket last time out and is interesting in this field.

Verdict: Gabriel’s Lad 3pts win

In the 3.30, Cafe Society is one to take serious note of. Unlucky not to win last time over C&D, he is still progressing and in my opinion is the one to be on here. Another on a sharp upward curve is Special Meaning who has made it 5 from 6. This demands more though and a rapid rise in the weights may be too big an ask today. Sure to be there from the front, I see her being pegged back by the selection this afternoon.

Verdict: Cafe Society 4pts win