Home and Aways Week 8


Was it me or was that International break loooong?! Putting England and Sir Andros’s fine performances aside, I’m more than ready to welcome back regular football to my screen! So, better start hunting some value I guess…


The Premier League is back! Amen! And scouring down the list it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to see that Arsenal, Everton & Chelsea all have more than favourable home ties to ease themselves back into the routine. I’m not going to spend too much time giving opinions here as opponents of Norwich, Hull and Cardiff respectively should suggest enough that, despite a serious upset somewhere, these should be fairly cut and dry fixtures. They’re not going to offer much bang for your buck in terms of accumulator picks – but a winner is a winner. Any other season I’d be throwing Man Utd in the mix with what would seem a snug home tie against Southampton. But, for a side struggling under new management, potentially carrying an injured RvP, who are playing a team sat in 4th (on merit), having conceded just 2 goals so far this campaign – the odds of 4/7 being offered by most bookies doesn’t offer anything to me I’m afraid… (Cue a crushing 5-0 win to the home side!!!) I’d much rather take Swansea at home to bottom side Sunderland for similar odds if necessary.

The Championship returns too and there’s a few games for once I’m considering. Reading need to bounce back to winning ways after taking just a point from their last 2 against leaders Burnley and Barnsley. They’ll need to be dispatching the likes of topsy turvy club Doncaster this season if they are to get anywhere near the top spots come May. They are fairly injury hit at the moment which is a concern but they have a strong squad so should still be able to field a decent side. Doncaster will be without the goalscoring services of recent hit Federico Macheda so I’m going to pop Nigel Adkins men into the mix today. Leicester have a nice looking tie with struggling Huddersfield coming to the Walkers Stadium winless in 4. Nigel Pearsons side suffered a minor blip last time out against Doncaster but they should be fired up to take the points today knowing that their two higher rivals (QPR and Burnley) face tricky away ties and 3 points could see them go joint top. Elsewhere I think the pick of the value has to be Watford at home to unpredictable Derby. Odds of evens for the home side won’t be offered very often this season. And having taken 12 points from their last possible 15 they’re not short of confidence. So if you’re looking for a decent accy bumper this might just be the one.

League 1 doesn’t offer much to feel too confident about but, without sounding like a broken record, Peterborough look the pick of the home ties. They don’t look like slowing down their onslaught any time soon and it’ll take a mighty performance from Shrewsbury to add any more points to their first win in eight they picked up last week. Wolves are evens to down in form Coventry which, looking at the tables, would seem a decent shout. But without the minus 10 points they were docked at the start of the season, Coventry would be sat in 5th and also boast the second best scoring stats in the league. I can’t rule out a home win here but Cov are no mugs and could easily snatch a draw or more.

League 2 leaders Chesterfield are experiencing a bit of a wobble so their home tie to Burton might not be as simple as the 4/6 odds suggest. In fact I much prefer a couple of far less ‘shoe in’ games that will really help to bump up those accumulators. Hartlepool have destroyed my bets the last two weeks having picked up very respectable wins against high flyers Exeter and Mansfield. The manner of the victories leads me to think they can’t be any more confident right now and they should be eyeing up Plymouths visit as a superb chance to add another 3 points to their tally. Odds of 11/10 seems very tasty to me. The other game is 4th placed Morecambe‘s match up against mid table AFC Wimbledon. The away sides form on their travels is pretty dire and coupled with the home side who should be still buoyed by their awesome 4-3 comeback against leaders Chesterfield two weeks ago, it seems the 6/5 odds on offer could be generous from the bookies for once.


Tottenham‘s trip to Villa Park tomorrow looks like a nice opportunity to add a nice evens bet onto the slip. There’s talks of Benteke being back for the Villains which is never good when backing against them, but I’m going to risk it and hope Spurs can continue to build on their great start to the campaign… In Andros we trust!

All the away ties in the Championship scare the bejesus out of me. So personally I think I’ll be steering clear. But if I really had to I’d probably have to play safe and pick QPR‘s trip to Millwall. The home side are leaking goals like there’s a hole in the bottom right now and QPR, despite being very unentertaining in the process, are getting the job done week in week out. I wouldn’t be surprised to see another narrow 1 or 2 nil win for ‘Arry’s men here.

League 1 presents a similar minefield of away ties. But leaders Leyton Orient came through a tough game against MK Dons last week to get back on track and their trip to lowly Tranmere might present the best chance of a winner at odds of 19/20.

Oxford‘s away trip to bottom side Accrington seems a decent chance at just as decent odds of 10/11 in League 2.


Arsenal, Everton, Chelsea, Leicester & Peterboro @ 5/1
Arsenal, Everton, Chelsea, Leicester, Reading, Peterboro, Hartlepool & Morecambe @ 40/1
Arsenal, Chelsea, Tottenham, Leicester, Watford, Peterboro, Leyton Orient, Hartlepool, Morecambe, Oxford @ 265/1