Home and Aways Week 4

tactics-board

So the snoozefest that were the two England internationals are behind us (thank the lord) and we can now get back to what we know and love best – league football is back!

Now, I’ll be the first to admit, after such a promising week 1 of home and away predictions, week 2 and 3 were nothing short is disgusting! I’m actually a little embarrassed of how poor my selections were. But, on reflection, there was solid justification for them all. Unfortunately form hasn’t been permanent anywhere (apart from Liverpool and Orient) across all 4 leagues, but I’m confident that’s going to start changing. So the last thing I’m going to do is change formula. It’s time to get back on the saddle and look at this weeks best opportunities to put together a accumulator to make some money. Here goes:

Homes

The Premier League finally gives us a couple of ‘bankers’ in the form of Man Utd’s early game against Palace and Tottenham entertaining Norwich at White Hart Lane. Both sets of opposition will be buoyed by the fact they took a valuable 3 points a piece from their last outings. Unfortunately though both were playing at home and against far weaker opposition. Norwich impressed me with their win over Southampton but a trip to try and overthrow the Spurs new look line up is a bridge too far I think. I expect new signing Christian Eriksen to slot straight into the starting XI and revel in the No.10 role he’ll likely be given. Roberto Soldado should also benefit from having such quality to link up with and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him finally open his account from open play. Over to Utd who surprisingly only added the Fellaini to the ranks just over a week ago. Nevertheless he probably couldn’t have picked a better game to be introduced into the team and I fancy him to hit the ground running, linking up with RvP who I also expect to prosper from his addition. There really should be no problem here today for Moyes men to stop their recent rot. Obviously both these games aren’t offering much in terms of odds so for those of you who might be hungry for something a little juicier I like the look of Aston Villa to take care of Newcastle at Villa Park. Benteke is just a machine at the minute and despite a shutout achieved by the Geordie defence last time out I’d be surprised if they can keep the Belgian man mountain at bay here. They also seem a little goal shy so the odd goal might be good enough for the villains to hold onto here.

In the Championship it looks like it’s got to be worth sticking with the league’s big boys who all have tasty ties against lesser opposition. Unbeaten QPR should despatch of a Birmingham side struggling for consistency and confidence. Nottingham Forest are my tip for glory in the league and a visit from 20th placed Barnsley shouldn’t be too much of a scare to the good start they’ve made to the season so far. Watford are another one of the favourites to fight it out for automatic promotion this season and despite their loss by the odd goal to league leaders Blackpool last time out, they should have enough to overthrow a resurgent Charlton side who will go into the game full of spirit following their recent first league win of the season against Leicester.

League 1 leaders Leyton Orient have another home game this week and although I’ve mentioned before that they have to drop points some time, this week against Port Vale shouldn’t really be that time. Wolves should have too much quality against a steady Swindon side and one to bump up the accumulators might be the MK Dons who take on lowly Notts County.

League 2 really doesn’t look too appealing to try and sniff out any home value but if I had to pick one it would probably be Burton to get back to winning ways against Portsmouth who, quite frankly, continue to disappoint in a league I thought they should be too strong for.

Aways

The biggest inbound news of the transfer window came in the form of Mezut Ozil to Arsenal. And according to the majority of the media it looks like the Gunners new boy is set to start against Sunderland. Shock horror!!! I’ll be honest, if I’d just forked out £42.5m on a player I’d expect him to walk into the starting XI blindfolded! Anyway, opinions aside, he should add some star quality to the attacking line and in-form Olivier Giroud will be rubbing his hands at the chances that should inevitably be coming his way this weekend. Couple this with their opponents being Sunderland who, for me, have a smell of QPR about them this season. It doesn’t matter how many players Di Canio brings in, making them all gel is gonna be tough. I can’t see the Mackems getting a result here. Chelsea should also have too much in reserve for an Everton side who, despite nabbing the services of Romelu Lukaku on a season long loan, won’t be able to field their new hitman against his former (joint) employers.

In the Championship it’s as dangerous as ever to try and call an away result but it might pay to side with the current league leaders in Blackpool who travel to high flying Bournemouth. This game has got potential draw written all over it so only add this to your slips if you’re feeling particularly sadist this week.

Peterborough destroyed probably 95% of betslips across the country last weekend so I expect them to pull their fingers out and overthrow Bristol City to get back to winning ways this weekend.

Away games look just as tough to call as homes in League 2 but Mansfield are undefeated in 5 and a trip to bottom feeders York looks the best bet to find a winner here.

Accys

Man Utd, Spurs, QPR & Watford – 3/1
Man Utd, Spurs, QPR, Watford, Forest, Wolves & Arsenal – 20/1
Arsenal, Villa, Chelsea, MK Dons, P’boro & Mansfield – 84/1